Sturm Graz 0-2 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.72
1/2
12%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
17%
4.64
X/2
14%
7.63
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
12%
5.89
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
25%
+13.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Austria Wien
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.74 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
220 Passes 271
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-2 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
02.02.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-0 HT 2-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AUK
29.10.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
30.07.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-3 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
07.05.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-2 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
26.04.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-2 HT 1-2 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
0-2
AWAY Austria Wien
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien got the better of Sturm Graz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Austria Wien made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 62% of the ball to Austria Wien's 38%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.00 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien?

Sturm Graz 0-2 Austria Wien in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 37%, draw 25%, Austria Wien 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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