Canberra United (K) 1-0 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 1 Feb 2025

Canberra United (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Perth Glory (K)
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Canberra United (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra United (K) v Perth Glory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.13/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.71
+0% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
18.4 Crosses 14.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Canberra United (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.70 xG 0.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 Passes 284
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
04.11.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-3 HT 2-2 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
13.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
03.01.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Canberra United (K) 1-0 Perth Glory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
1-0
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
0.54 xG 0.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
181 Passes 251
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
12 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) nicked a narrow win over Perth Glory (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Canberra United (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 43% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 57%, shots finished 3-16, expected goals 0.54 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth Glory (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.33 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Canberra United (K) 1-0 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 48%, draw 28%, Perth Glory (K) 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra United (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Canberra United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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