Melbourne City (K) 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.6pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.46/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.51
+52% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
11.6 Crosses 12.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City (K)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.46 xG 0.72
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
429 Passes 217
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-3 HT 2-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
17.03.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
12.12.2019 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
05.01.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
16.11.2018 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
03.11.2017 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne City (K)
1-1
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.57 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
318 Passes 211
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Melbourne City (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) and Melbourne Victory (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Melbourne City (K) had 57% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 43%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.57 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Melbourne City (K) and 0.83 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne City (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Melbourne City (K) 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City (K) 35%, draw 33%, Melbourne Victory (K) 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melbourne City (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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