Central Coast Mariners (K) 5-1 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 1 Feb 2025

Central Coast Mariners (K)
5-1 HT 2-1
Newcastle Jets (K)
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒08:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
31%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.26/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.19
-48% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
16.0 Crosses 17.1
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.08 xG 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
199 Passes 326
63% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 25
5 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW

Central Coast Mariners (K) 5-1 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
5-1
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
3.09 xG 2.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
246 Passes 326
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) ran out comfortable winners over Newcastle Jets (K) 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Central Coast Mariners (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 47% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 53%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 3.09 to 2.83.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 5-1 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 52%, draw 26%, Newcastle Jets (K) 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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