Genk 1-0 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Feb 2025

Genk
1-0 HT 1-0
Beerschot VA
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Genk vs Beerschot VA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.18
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.61
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.61
2-3 Goals
35%
2.02
4-5 Goals
33%
2.52
6+ Goals
15%
5.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.34
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
25.0
X/1
18%
3.8
X/2
3%
25.0
X/X
8%
9.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.7
2/2
6%
21.55
2/X
4%
29.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
79%
-8.5pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.6pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+5.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genk v Beerschot VA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
2.53/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.26
+7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
16.1 Crosses 13.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Genk vs Beerschot VA Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Beerschot VA
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
2.28 xG 1.51
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
468 Passes 224
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 16
32 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 3-4 HT 1-3 Genk Genk BEL
16.01.2022 Genk Genk 4-1 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
21.11.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-0 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
21.02.2021 Genk Genk 1-2 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
14.09.2020 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 5-2 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL
POST-MATCH Genk vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk squeezed past Beerschot VA 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Beerschot VA led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Genk and 2.60 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of Genk vs Beerschot VA?

Genk 1-0 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Genk 70%, draw 16%, Beerschot VA 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
1 Feb 2025
18:00 Sporting Charleroi vs Dender EH Analysis →
20:15 Cercle Brugge vs Standard Liege Analysis →