Cercle Brugge 1-1 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 27% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.25
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.19
X/2
8%
9.28
X/X
13%
4.88
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
13%
7.56
2/X
7%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
2.08/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.81
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.9 Crosses 11.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.55 xG 1.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
210 Passes 286
61% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
26.01.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
19.08.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
27.05.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-4 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
29.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
04.02.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-1
AWAY Standard Liege
1.44 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
288 Passes 231
71% Pass Accuracy 63%
15 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge and Standard Liege shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 52% of the ball to Standard Liege's 48%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.44 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cercle Brugge and 0.50 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Standard Liege?

Cercle Brugge 1-1 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 47%, draw 27%, Standard Liege 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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