Sporting Charleroi 5-0 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.52
X/2
9%
8.47
X/X
14%
4.46
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
11%
6.66
2/X
5%
14.15
Value flag · 1/X at 12.85 — our 10% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.70/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.64
-25% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +102%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
21.7 Crosses 21.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Dender EH
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.06 xG 0.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
552 Passes 208
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 15
36 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
16.05.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
20.12.2008 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
05.04.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-4 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
03.11.2007 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
5-0
AWAY Dender EH
2.84 xG 0.27
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
463 Passes 270
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi ran out comfortable winners over Dender EH 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 60% of the ball to Dender EH's 40%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 2.84 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 0.80 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Dender EH?

Sporting Charleroi 5-0 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 45%, draw 29%, Dender EH 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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