Standard Liege 1-0 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 28% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.54
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
18%
5.19
X/2
9%
5.84
X/X
15%
4.4
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
15%
4.18
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.32/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.48
-33% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
20.2 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 Passes 188
69% Pass Accuracy 59%
15 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
19.08.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
27.05.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-4 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
29.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
04.02.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
07.08.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-0 HT 2-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
1-0
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.08 xG 1.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
205 Passes 268
61% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege squeezed past Cercle Brugge 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; Standard Liege found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Standard Liege had 44% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 56%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.08 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Standard Liege and 1.17 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge?

Standard Liege 1-0 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 40%, draw 29%, Cercle Brugge 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Standard Liege), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Standard Liege) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
23 Nov 2024
18:00 Club Brugge vs St. Truidense Analysis →
22:45 Genk vs Sporting Charleroi Analysis →