Venda FC 5-1 Baroka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
27%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venda FC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Baroka EU Bookmakers 55%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
0.77/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-35% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venda FC
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Baroka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Baroka Baroka 4-2 HT 2-1 Venda FC GAF1
10.03.2024 Baroka Baroka 0-1 HT 0-0 Venda FC GAF1
08.10.2023 Venda FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
18.02.2023 Baroka Baroka 3-1 HT 3-1 Venda FC GAF1
POST-MATCH Venda FC vs Baroka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venda FC cruised past Baroka 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Baroka at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Baroka led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Venda FC and 2.00 for Baroka.

What was the final score of Venda FC vs Baroka?

Venda FC 5-1 Baroka in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venda FC vs Baroka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Venda FC 25%, draw 27%, Baroka 48%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Baroka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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