Mohammedan 0-4 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 25% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 62%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.43/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.57
-35% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +69%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
182 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
15.6 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mohammedan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.28 xG 1.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 5
308 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 HT 3-0 Mohammedan Mohammedan HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mohammedan
0-4
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
0.34 xG 2.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
345 Passes 432
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mohammedan vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan ran out comfortable winners over Mohammedan 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mohammedan had 45% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 55%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.34 to 2.38.

What was the final score of Mohammedan vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Mohammedan 0-4 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mohammedan vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mohammedan 23%, draw 24%, ATK Mohun Bagan 53%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HİNSL More India - Super League
1 Feb 2025
14:30 Punjab FC vs Bengaluru Analysis →