Punjab FC 3-2 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
8%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.75/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.28
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
15.8 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Bengaluru
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.82 xG 1.44
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
206 Passes 375
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
03.02.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
30.11.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-3 HT 2-3 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
12.04.2023 Punjab FC Punjab FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HINSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
3-2
AWAY Bengaluru
2.23 xG 1.54
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
182 Passes 384
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Punjab FC vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Punjab FC squeezed past Bengaluru 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Punjab FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Punjab FC had 36% of the ball to Bengaluru's 64%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.23 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bengaluru led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Punjab FC and 1.75 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of Punjab FC vs Bengaluru?

Punjab FC 3-2 Bengaluru in the India - Super League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bengaluru win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 37%, draw 24%, Bengaluru 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bengaluru) ✗ Under 2.5
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