Punjab FC 3-1 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 3 Feb 2024

Punjab FC
3-1 HT 1-1
Bengaluru
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Punjab FC vs Bengaluru Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
8%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Punjab FC v Bengaluru — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 43%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.76/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.26
-28% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.3 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Punjab FC vs Bengaluru Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bengaluru
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.47 xG 2.31
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
212 Passes 354
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.11.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-3 HT 2-3 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
12.04.2023 Punjab FC Punjab FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HINSK

Punjab FC 3-1 Bengaluru — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
3-1
AWAY Bengaluru
1.18 xG 0.57
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
199 Passes 396
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Punjab FC vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Punjab FC saw off Bengaluru 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Punjab FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Punjab FC had 36% of the ball to Bengaluru's 64%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.18 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bengaluru led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Punjab FC and 2.50 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of Punjab FC vs Bengaluru?

Punjab FC 3-1 Bengaluru in the India - Super League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Punjab FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 38%, draw 25%, Bengaluru 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Punjab FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Punjab FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HİNSL More India - Super League
3 Feb 2024
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