ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 3 Feb 2024

ATK Mohun Bagan
2-2 HT 1-1
East Bengal
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
India - Super League – 2025/2026

ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.15
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ATK Mohun Bagan v East Bengal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.29/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.79
-11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.8 Crosses 14.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY East Bengal
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.74 xG 0.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
325 Passes 239
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.01.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 HT 1-0 East Bengal East Bengal HINSK
25.02.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-2 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
29.10.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
29.01.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
27.11.2021 East Bengal East Bengal 0-3 HT 0-3 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
19.02.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 HT 1-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 East Bengal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
2-2
AWAY East Bengal
0.93 xG 1.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
226 Passes 170
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan and East Bengal couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 56% of the ball to East Bengal's 44%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.93 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.83 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal?

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 40%, draw 29%, East Bengal 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ BTTS Yes
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