Bengaluru 1-0 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 18 Oct 2024

Bengaluru
1-0
Punjab FC
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

Bengaluru vs Punjab FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
14.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.59 — our 30% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bengaluru v Punjab FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+26% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.06/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.48
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
15.3 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.6

Bengaluru vs Punjab FC Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bengaluru
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Punjab FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.44 xG 0.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
375 Passes 206
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
30.11.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-3 HT 2-3 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
12.04.2023 Punjab FC Punjab FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HINSK
POST-MATCH Bengaluru vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bengaluru squeezed past Punjab FC 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Bengaluru made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bengaluru and 2.00 for Punjab FC.

What was the final score of Bengaluru vs Punjab FC?

Bengaluru 1-0 Punjab FC in the India - Super League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bengaluru vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bengaluru win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bengaluru 38%, draw 32%, Punjab FC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bengaluru) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bengaluru) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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