Heerenveen (K) 5-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 1 Feb 2025

Heerenveen (K)
5-1 HT 3-0
Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.03
Over 2.5
38%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
54%
-18.9pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.5pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
45%
+16.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
55%
-16.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen (K) v Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.18/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+13% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
321 Passes 254
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1
09.03.2024 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1

Heerenveen (K) 5-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen (K)
5-1
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
416 Passes 165
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen (K) ran out comfortable winners over Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Heerenveen (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heerenveen (K) had 67% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 33%, shots finished 19-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Heerenveen (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Heerenveen (K) and 0.50 for Excelsior Barendrecht (K).

What was the final score of Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Heerenveen (K) 5-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen (K) 35%, draw 33%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 32%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLK1 More Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie
1 Feb 2025
00:00 Telstar (K) vs AZ (K) Analysis →