Jong Sparta 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.2pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.42/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.67
+34% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-3 HT 0-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
18.05.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-2 HT 1-2 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
09.12.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 HT 0-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
2-0
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta beat Excelsior Maassluis 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jong Sparta as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 47% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 53%, shots finished 6-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jong Sparta had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jong Sparta and 0.67 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Jong Sparta 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 46%, draw 25%, Excelsior Maassluis 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Sparta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jong Sparta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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