Jong Sparta 2-2 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.89
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.41
No
34%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
49%
-13.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.5pp
66%
BTTS Yes
67%
-0.7pp
34%
BTTS No
33%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 33%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.61
+71% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 HT 0-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
2-2
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta and Excelsior Maassluis shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 50% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 50%, shots finished 19-17.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Jong Sparta 2-2 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Excelsior Maassluis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 36%, draw 24%, Excelsior Maassluis 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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