ACV 3-1 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 18 May 2024

ACV
3-1 HT 2-1
Katwijk
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.38
Over 2.5
45%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.0pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACV EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.48/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.85
+28% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +59%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
381 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACV
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Katwijk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.12.2023 Katwijk Katwijk 2-0 HT 1-0 ACV HOLTW
POST-MATCH ACV vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACV saw off Katwijk 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Katwijk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of ACV vs Katwijk?

ACV 3-1 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACV vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ACV 33%, draw 27%, Katwijk 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
18 May 2024
16:30 Jong Almere City vs Rijnsburgse Boys Analysis →
16:30 Kozakken Boys vs De Treffers Analysis →
16:30 HHC Hardenberg vs AFC Amsterdamsche Analysis →
16:30 Lisse vs Koninklijke HFC Analysis →
16:30 Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis Analysis →
16:30 SV Spakenburg vs ADO 20 Analysis →