18/05/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
ACV vs Katwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
27%
Draw
23%
41%
Away Win
47%
55%
Under 2.5
38%
45%
Over 2.5
62%
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
53%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ACV v Katwijk — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ACV
EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Katwijk
EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+20% /
+20%
1.48/2.04
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.01/0.85
+28%
/
-12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+6%
/
+59%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
7
381 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
413 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
ACV vs Katwijk Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
ACV
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Katwijk
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
09.12.2023
Katwijk
2-0
HT 1-0
ACV
HOLTW
2-0
HT 1-0
ACV
HOLTW
POST-MATCH
ACV vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
ACV saw off Katwijk 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Katwijk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of ACV vs Katwijk?
ACV 3-1 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ACV vs Katwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ACV 33%, draw 27%, Katwijk 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Katwijk)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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HOLTW
More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
18 May 2024