Lisse 2-1 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lisse EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 52%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-60% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
430 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lisse
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.12.2023 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 1-4 HT 0-3 Lisse Lisse HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lisse
2-1
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lisse vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lisse edged past Koninklijke HFC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Koninklijke HFC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lisse had 50% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 50%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Lisse vs Koninklijke HFC?

Lisse 2-1 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lisse vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lisse 28%, draw 25%, Koninklijke HFC 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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