HHC Hardenberg 1-2 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 40%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.59
-100% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +133%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
2W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.02 xG 1.70
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
237 Passes 290
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 2-2 HT 1-2 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
23.02.2019 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 4-2 HT 0-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
29.04.2017 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 2-4 HT 2-1 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche nicked a narrow win over HHC Hardenberg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; AFC Amsterdamsche found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for HHC Hardenberg and 2.00 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

HHC Hardenberg 1-2 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 34%, draw 27%, AFC Amsterdamsche 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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