Excelsior Maassluis 0-3 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.04/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.04/0.51
-26% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / +140%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jong Sparta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-2 HT 1-2 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
09.12.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 HT 0-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0-3
AWAY Jong Sparta
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta ran out comfortable winners over Excelsior Maassluis 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Jong Sparta found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 38% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 62%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jong Sparta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 1.50 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Sparta?

Excelsior Maassluis 0-3 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Maassluis win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 39%, draw 25%, Jong Sparta 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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