Katwijk 4-1 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.9pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.9pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 26%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
1.43/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-25% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +91%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
4-1
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk cruised past BVV Barendrecht 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Katwijk had 56% of the ball to BVV Barendrecht's 44%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs BVV Barendrecht?

Katwijk 4-1 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 42%, draw 31%, BVV Barendrecht 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ Under 2.5
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