HHC Hardenberg 1-5 Rijnsburgse Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.4pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 39%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.51/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.32
-69% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 3-3 HT 2-2 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
25.11.2023 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 2-1 HT 0-1 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
1-5
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs Rijnsburgse Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijnsburgse Boys cruised past HHC Hardenberg 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Rijnsburgse Boys made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 44% of the ball to Rijnsburgse Boys's 56%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rijnsburgse Boys led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HHC Hardenberg and 2.50 for Rijnsburgse Boys.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

HHC Hardenberg 1-5 Rijnsburgse Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 36%, draw 32%, Rijnsburgse Boys 32%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (HHC Hardenberg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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