Jong Almere City 4-1 Noordwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.81/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.25
+12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Almere City
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Noordwijk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
16.03.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 3-1 HT 0-0 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
07.10.2023 Noordwijk Noordwijk 0-0 HT 0-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Almere City
4-1
AWAY Noordwijk
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs Noordwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City cruised past Noordwijk 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jong Almere City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Jong Almere City had 56% of the ball to Noordwijk's 44%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jong Almere City had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jong Almere City and 0.50 for Noordwijk.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs Noordwijk?

Jong Almere City 4-1 Noordwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs Noordwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 41%, draw 26%, Noordwijk 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Almere City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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