Ballinamallard United 0-3 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.1pp
55%
Away Win
68%
-13.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 72%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
209 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
21.10.2017 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
19.12.2015 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
12.09.2015 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-3 HT 0-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballinamallard United
0-3
AWAY Carrick Rangers
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers swept aside Ballinamallard United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carrick Rangers as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ballinamallard United had 54% of the ball to Carrick Rangers's 46%, shots finished 5-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.67 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Carrick Rangers?

Ballinamallard United 0-3 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Cup on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 18%, draw 28%, Carrick Rangers 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrick Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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