Cliftonville 3-2 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
344 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Glenavon FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
17.08.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
17.02.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
13.10.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
12.08.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 3-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
24.01.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville edged past Glenavon FC 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cliftonville and 0.67 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Glenavon FC?

Cliftonville 3-2 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 55%, draw 22%, Glenavon FC 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRK More North Ireland - Cup
1 Feb 2025
18:00 Crusaders FC vs Limavady United Analysis →
18:00 Bangor FC vs Annagh United Analysis →
18:00 Ballinamallard United vs Carrick Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC Analysis →
18:00 Dollingstown vs Loughgall FC Analysis →
18:00 Moyola Park vs Ards FC Analysis →