Glenavon FC 1-2 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

Glenavon FC
1-2 HT 0-1
Cliftonville
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Glenavon FC vs Cliftonville Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 27% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.89
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
7.15
X/2
10%
4.65
X/X
11%
5.34
2/1
4%
32.5
2/2
22%
2.69
2/X
4%
13.35
Value flag · X/1 at 7.15 — our 17% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+8.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Glenavon FC v Cliftonville — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.40/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.39
+8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Glenavon FC vs Cliftonville Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cliftonville
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
13.10.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
12.08.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 3-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
24.01.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
05.11.2022 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-2 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
17.09.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville edged past Glenavon FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Cliftonville made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Glenavon FC and 2.33 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Cliftonville?

Glenavon FC 1-2 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 38%, draw 24%, Cliftonville 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ BTTS No
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