Portadown FC 1-2 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.33
Over 2.5
45%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
2.8
6+ Goals
9%
7.61
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.83 — our 32% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.65
1/2
8%
20.3
1/X
10%
15.05
X/1
11%
9.65
X/2
14%
4.14
X/X
10%
6.2
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.1
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.8pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
39%
+16.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
61%
-16.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.1pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 60%
+16% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
0.97/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.91
-12% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +28%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 5-1 HT 3-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
04.02.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRK
26.11.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
26.08.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
08.02.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
04.12.2021 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC edged past Portadown FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Glentoran FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Portadown FC and 2.83 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Glentoran FC?

Portadown FC 1-2 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 30%, draw 27%, Glentoran FC 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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