Linfield FC 3-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.59
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.56
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.64
6+ Goals
10%
6.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.56 — our 26% vs market 13.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.57
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.2
X/1
22%
3.63
X/2
8%
16.95
X/X
11%
8.04
2/1
6%
20.3
2/2
9%
12.2
2/X
6%
20.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-16.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +26%
2.92/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.92
+18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
16.01.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
09.12.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-3 HT 1-3 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
12.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
24.03.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-5 HT 0-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
17.12.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC got the better of Dungannon Swifts 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Linfield FC and 1.33 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Linfield FC 3-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 54%, draw 23%, Dungannon Swifts 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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