Loughgall FC 3-0 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.23
1/2
9%
23.15
1/X
4%
13.85
X/1
15%
7.38
X/2
18%
4.5
X/X
13%
5.15
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.63
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.51/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.36
+26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.04.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 2-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
24.02.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-3 HT 1-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
02.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-2 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
07.10.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-4 HT 1-3 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC ran out comfortable winners over Carrick Rangers 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Carrick Rangers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Loughgall FC and 2.75 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Loughgall FC 3-0 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 30%, draw 23%, Carrick Rangers 46%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers)
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