Moyola Park 1-3 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.74
Over 2.5
47%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.5
No
57%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.9pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
33%
+20.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
67%
-20.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
62%
-20.0pp
57%
BTTS No
38%
+20.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moyola Park EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moyola Park
1-3
AWAY Ards FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moyola Park vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC got the better of Moyola Park 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ards FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Moyola Park had 46% of the ball to Ards FC's 54%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Moyola Park vs Ards FC?

Moyola Park 1-3 Ards FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moyola Park vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Moyola Park 30%, draw 19%, Ards FC 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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