Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Monarcas Morelia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Monarcas Morelia — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Monarcas Morelia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tepatitlán de Morelos had too much for Monarcas Morelia 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Tepatitlán de Morelos against 1.00 for Monarcas Morelia.
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Monarcas Morelia Result & Final Score
Tepatitlán de Morelos 3 - 1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Monarcas Morelia Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 48%, draw 28%, Monarcas Morelia 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.