Monarcas Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monarcas Morelia v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals
Monarcas Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
2-0
HT 1-0
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
2-1
HT 0-0
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
2-2
HT 2-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
Monarcas Morelia edged past Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.50 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.
What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Monarcas Morelia 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 48%, draw 25%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.