Motor Lublin 1-1 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.13
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
4.47
X/2
13%
10.35
X/X
9%
5.07
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
11%
8.0
2/X
9%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
Crosses 17.4
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.54 xG 0.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
333 Passes 457
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2024 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-2 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
16.12.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-0 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL1
28.07.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-1 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
1-1
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.26 xG 1.82
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
401 Passes 219
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin and Lechia Gdansk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Motor Lublin at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 62% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 38%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.26 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Motor Lublin had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Motor Lublin and 0.00 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdansk?

Motor Lublin 1-1 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 47%, draw 25%, Lechia Gdansk 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motor Lublin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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