Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Szczecin v Zaglebie Lubin — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
0-1
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
3-0
HT 1-0
Zaglebie Lubin
POL
Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin nicked a narrow win over Zaglebie Lubin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 59% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 41%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.87 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pogon Szczecin's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.33 for Zaglebie Lubin.
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 53%, draw 24%, Zaglebie Lubin 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.