Cerro Largo 1-1 Juventud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.87/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.68
+18% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Juventud
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
16.10.2019 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 0-0 Juventud Juventud URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Largo
1-1
AWAY Juventud
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Juventud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo and Juventud shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Largo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Cerro Largo had 44% of the ball to Juventud's 56%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Juventud?

Cerro Largo 1-1 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Juventud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 52%, draw 26%, Juventud 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Largo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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