Danubio 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.2pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.21/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.95
+1% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
28.07.2024 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
10.03.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
26.08.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
12.02.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
03.09.2022 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
1-1
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio and Liverpool FC (Montevideo) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Danubio had 39% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 61%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Danubio and 0.67 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Danubio vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Danubio 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Danubio 39%, draw 30%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Danubio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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