Danubio 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.22/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.00
+1% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2024 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
10.03.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
26.08.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
12.02.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
03.09.2022 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
26.02.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
1-0
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio edged past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Danubio as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Danubio had 41% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 59%, shots finished 6-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Danubio and 0.67 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Danubio vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Danubio 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Danubio 43%, draw 27%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danubio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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