Boston River 3-1 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.51/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.08
+20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CA River Plate
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-2 HT 1-1 Boston River Boston River URU
15.10.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-1 HT 1-1 Boston River Boston River URU
04.06.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-1 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
05.03.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
12.08.2022 Boston River Boston River 1-2 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
19.02.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-2 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
3-1
AWAY CA River Plate
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boston River vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River beat CA River Plate 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boston River as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston River had 52% of the ball to CA River Plate's 48%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston River had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boston River and 1.00 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Boston River vs CA River Plate?

Boston River 3-1 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Boston River 41%, draw 28%, CA River Plate 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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