Defensor Sporting 2-0 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.39/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.15
+17% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boston River
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Boston River Boston River 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URUK
12.10.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-2 HT 0-2 Boston River Boston River URU
06.04.2024 Boston River Boston River 2-2 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
21.11.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
09.07.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
16.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
2-0
AWAY Boston River
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting got the better of Boston River 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Defensor Sporting found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 45% of the ball to Boston River's 55%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.83 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?

Defensor Sporting 2-0 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 40%, draw 27%, Boston River 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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