Boston River 0-1 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-2 HT 0-2 Boston River Boston River URU
06.04.2024 Boston River Boston River 2-2 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
21.11.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
09.07.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
16.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
21.08.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
0-1
AWAY Defensor Sporting
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting squeezed past Boston River 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Defensor Sporting found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Boston River had 50% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 50%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston River had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boston River and 1.00 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?

Boston River 0-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay Cup on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boston River 32%, draw 28%, Defensor Sporting 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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