Panathinaikos 3-2 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
8.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 29% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.95
X/1
22%
3.8
X/2
7%
15.9
X/X
12%
7.03
2/1
6%
21.65
2/2
6%
13.6
2/X
7%
22.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.9pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.0pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.73/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.84
-12% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
22.6 Crosses 10.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
3W-2D-1L
AWAY OFI
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 0.69
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
428 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.10.2024 OFI OFI 0-1 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
03.03.2024 OFI OFI 2-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
03.12.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 4-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
28.12.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
28.08.2022 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
02.02.2022 OFI OFI 3-2 HT 1-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
3-2
AWAY OFI
3.92 xG 0.70
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 1
444 Passes 193
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
49 Box Touches 9
35 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos edged past OFI 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 66% of the ball to OFI's 34%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 3.92 to 0.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Panathinaikos's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.00 for OFI.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs OFI?

Panathinaikos 3-2 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 55%, draw 27%, OFI 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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