OFI 0-1 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

OFI
0-1 HT 0-1
Panathinaikos
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

OFI vs Panathinaikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
7.06
1/2
5%
22.7
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
10%
9.56
X/2
12%
4.18
X/X
9%
5.17
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.2
2/X
10%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+9.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
41%
Away Win
54%
-12.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OFI v Panathinaikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +15%
1.00/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.64
+57% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +63%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
13.0 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

OFI vs Panathinaikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.49 xG 1.52
40% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
249 Passes 430
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 OFI OFI 2-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
03.12.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 4-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
28.12.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
28.08.2022 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
02.02.2022 OFI OFI 3-2 HT 1-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
31.10.2021 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN

OFI 0-1 Panathinaikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
0-1
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.40 xG 0.49
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
229 Passes 409
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFI vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos edged past OFI 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, OFI had 40% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 60%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.40 to 0.49 — on chances, OFI could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OFI and 1.83 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Panathinaikos?

OFI 0-1 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split OFI 31%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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