Aris Saloniki 2-0 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

Aris Saloniki
2-0
Kallithea
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Aris Saloniki vs Kallithea Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.81
6+ Goals
12%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 35% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1.95
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
25%
3.65
X/2
13%
12.1
X/X
19%
4.91
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
5%
10.3
2/X
6%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.7pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aris Saloniki v Kallithea — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.85/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.39
+4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.8 Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Aris Saloniki vs Kallithea Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Kallithea
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
The Meetings
25.05.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 3-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
16.01.2005 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-2 HT 1-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
21.02.2004 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-1 HT 0-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
09.03.2003 Kallithea Kallithea 0-2 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
10.11.2002 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN

Aris Saloniki 2-0 Kallithea — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
2-0
AWAY Kallithea
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
523 Passes 228
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki got the better of Kallithea 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 66% of the ball to Kallithea's 34%, shots finished 22-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kallithea led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Aris Saloniki and 1.40 for Kallithea.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Kallithea?

Aris Saloniki 2-0 Kallithea in the Greece - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 46%, draw 30%, Kallithea 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
20 Oct 2024
16:00 Olympiakos vs Levadiakos Analysis →
18:00 OFI vs Panathinaikos Analysis →
20:30 AEK Atina vs PAOK Analysis →