OFI 2-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.99
1/2
8%
23.6
1/X
6%
19.45
X/1
9%
11.85
X/2
20%
3.46
X/X
14%
5.64
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.9
2/X
8%
18.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.5pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 66%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
0.68/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.63
+13% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
12.2 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.38 xG 1.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
286 Passes 385
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 4-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
28.12.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
28.08.2022 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
02.02.2022 OFI OFI 3-2 HT 1-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
31.10.2021 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
23.01.2021 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
2-2
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.04 xG 1.56
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
195 Passes 509
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 32
4 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFI vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI and Panathinaikos shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Panathinaikos at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFI had 33% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 67%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.04 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for OFI and 1.83 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Panathinaikos?

OFI 2-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split OFI 22%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 50%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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