Aris Saloniki 3-3 AEK Atina — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Greece - Super League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.57
Draw
21%
3.95
AwayVIEW
66%
1.5
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.83
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.1
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.77
6+
5%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
11.2
1/2
3%
24.85
1/X
4%
19.45
X/1
5%
13.1
X/2
21%
3.47
X/X
13%
5.48
2/1
1%
34.5
2/2
42%
1.83
2/X
4%
18.4
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aris Saloniki The Market 18%
Signal
AWAY AEK Atina The Market 67%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.90 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.26
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.58
Great Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Weak
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
13 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
0W-2D-4L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.74 xG 1.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
280 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 23
5 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.01.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
10.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
04.12.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
08.05.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
09.04.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
29.01.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
3 - 3
AWAY AEK Atina
1.51 xG 2.36
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 8
268 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 40
5 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aris Saloniki and AEK Atina traded blows to a 3-3 standstill. Half-time: 1-1. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AEK Atina at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 46%.

On the day, AEK Atina saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.51 to 2.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Aris Saloniki against 1.67 for AEK Atina.

Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina Result & Final Score

Aris Saloniki 3 - 3 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 13%, draw 21%, AEK Atina 66%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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