Lamia 0-2 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 Mar 2024

Lamia
0-2 HT 0-0
PAOK
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Lamia vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.18
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 25% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
13.95
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
6%
20.6
X/1
5%
17.4
X/2
12%
3.54
X/X
14%
6.74
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
41%
1.59
2/X
5%
19.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
11%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.4pp
60%
Away Win
70%
-10.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lamia v PAOK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 75%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
0.70/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.61
-16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
216 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 83%
10.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
13.2 Crosses 19.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Lamia vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PAOK
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.41 xG 1.18
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
205 Passes 449
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.12.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
13.04.2023 PAOK PAOK 1-1 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUK
08.03.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-5 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUK
07.01.2023 Lamia Lamia 0-3 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
12.09.2022 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
06.03.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN

Lamia 0-2 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
0-2
AWAY PAOK
0.11 xG 2.14
22% Ball Possession 78%
3 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
130 Passes 633
64% Pass Accuracy 90%
5 Box Touches 47
5 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lamia vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK got the better of Lamia 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lamia had 22% of the ball to PAOK's 78%, shots finished 3-20, expected goals 0.11 to 2.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lamia and 2.50 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Lamia vs PAOK?

Lamia 0-2 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lamia 15%, draw 25%, PAOK 60%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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