Ulm 1846 1-0 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Feb 2026

Ulm 1846
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
MSV Duisburg
📅01/02/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Ulm 1846 vs MSV Duisburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.72
No
46%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.18
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.57
6+
5%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.9
1/2
3%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
11%
6.77
X/2
16%
5.01
X/X
17%
4.69
2/1
2%
33.5
2/2
25%
3.07
2/X
5%
13.2
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Ulm 1846 v MSV Duisburg — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ulm 1846 The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg The Market 48%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.18 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.48
1.46 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Bad Defense Strength Strong
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3

Ulm 1846 vs MSV Duisburg Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
0W-2D-1L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
375 Passes 192
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.08.2025 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
27.01.2024 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 2-2 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
25.08.2023 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3

Ulm 1846 1-0 MSV Duisburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
1 - 0
AWAY MSV Duisburg
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
256 Passes 297
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Ulm 1846 vs MSV Duisburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ulm 1846 nicked a narrow win over MSV Duisburg 1-0.

A gentle 44% lean on MSV Duisburg didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, MSV Duisburg saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 11-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, MSV Duisburg led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Ulm 1846 against 1.67 for MSV Duisburg.

Ulm 1846 vs MSV Duisburg Result & Final Score

Ulm 1846 1 - 0 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ulm 1846 vs MSV Duisburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 28%, draw 28%, MSV Duisburg 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (MSV Duisburg), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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