Valletta 4-2 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.81
Away
17%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.89
Over
50%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.94
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
47%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Valletta The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.76 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
0.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Attack Strength Weak
Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valletta
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-1 HT 0-1 Valletta Valletta MLTP
07.01.2024 Valletta Valletta 1-2 HT 0-2 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valletta
4 - 2
AWAY Naxxar Lions
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Valletta vs Naxxar Lions
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Valletta saw off Naxxar Lions 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valletta as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both.

The match data tells the story: possession split 57% to 43% in Valletta's favour, shots finished 12-11.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Valletta against 1.00 for Naxxar Lions.

Valletta vs Naxxar Lions Result & Final Score

Valletta 4 - 2 Naxxar Lions in the MALTP on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Valletta vs Naxxar Lions Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Valletta win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Valletta 60%, draw 23%, Naxxar Lions 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valletta) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valletta) ✗ BTTS No
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