Melgar 2-0 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melgar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.38/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.34
-10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.3 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melgar
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cienciano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.34 xG 0.66
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.10.2025 Melgar Melgar 2-0 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
11.05.2025 Cienciano Cienciano 1-2 HT 1-1 Melgar Melgar PER
26.08.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 3-1 HT 1-1 Melgar Melgar PER
31.03.2024 Melgar Melgar 2-0 HT 2-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.09.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 0-1 HT 0-0 Melgar Melgar PER
15.04.2023 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
2-0
AWAY Cienciano
2.35 xG 0.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 9
220 Passes 222
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Melgar vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melgar got the better of Cienciano 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Melgar had 49% of the ball to Cienciano's 51%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.35 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melgar and 0.67 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Melgar vs Cienciano?

Melgar 2-0 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melgar vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Melgar 55%, draw 24%, Cienciano 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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